Projection to 86 points 24/25

[CafeCordoba]

This is a thread to follow the projections for top 8 teams to the magical 86 points season. Thread follows the "fuckup" budget, meaning how many games team can draw and lose to still achieve the 86 points level.

Title race table

Club	Fuckup budget left	Played vs top9	Current points	Max points	Games played
Inter	7D 4L	ata(h)	7	112	3
Milan	6D 3L	laz(a)	2	107	3
Juventus	7D 4L	rom(h)	7	112	3
Napoli	8D 3L	bol(h)	6	111	3
Atalanta	8D 2L	int(a)	3	108	3
Roma	6D 3L	juv(a)	2	107	3
Lazio	7D 3L	mil(h)	4	109	3
Fiorentina	5D 4L		3	108	3
Bologna	6D 3L	nap(a)	2	107	3

Points comparison tracker to last season per matchups: 0
Salernitana -> Venezia
Frosinone -> Parma
Sassuolo -> Como


List of Inter Serie A games per months:

August ​	Last season​
Genoa-Inter 2-2	1-1
Inter-Lecce 2-0	2-0
Inter-Atalanta 4-0	4-0

September​

October​

November​

December​

January​

February​

March​

April​

May​

 

[brehme1989]

That's a lot of points for Juventus so early in the season. What year is this?

 

[nerazzurro4ever]

"Fuckup budget"
No better way to say it

 

[.h.]

milan and roma determined tod rop out of the race by Xmas

 

[CafeCordoba]

After 10 games, I'm going to make cuts to the list if necessary.

 

[brehme1989]

If we get results like last year, it's possible that the race will be decided at ~90ish points.

I think it'll look like a 3 horse race until March. As long as we're one of those.

 

[.h.]

Who do you think will be the third?

 

[pier]

Just made the projection in Google Sheets, feel free to copy and try out your prediction there

EDIT: The permissions have been updated to allow anyone to edit and try out their own projection (don't worry, it's reversible).

Serie A Point Projection 2024/2025

docs.google.com

 

[brehme1989]

Who do you think will be the third?

Still too soon to be decided but maybe Napoli since they do have anything else going on but their schedule till then is tough. If they make it till then, they can be a threat.

They may have been a mess last season but most of them were Serie A champions in 14 months ago, so if they rally behind Conte they can be a threat.

Eventually they'll implode though.

Too early to tell for anyone. Can't say how Atalanta will fare for example. Or Milan.
Can safely assume that neither Roma, Lazio, Fiorentina nor Bologna will be threats.

We'll see how many points the Monzas, Comos and Parmas will gain from contenders, that will be an important factor.

 

[.h.]

Agree everything is too soon, but I don't personally think Napoli Milan etc will be a strong strong force. I reckon it's a two horse race but could well be wrong.

 

[pier]

	Club	Fuckup budget left	Current points	Max points	Games played	Draw	Lose
	Inter	7D 4L	7	112	3
	Juventus	7D 4L	7	112	3
	Milan	6D 3L	2	107	3
	Napoli	8D 3L	6	111	3
	Atalanta	8D 2L	3	108	3
	Roma	6D 3L	2	107	3

#	INTER	Result		Points		JUVENTUS	Result		Points		MILAN	Result		Points
1	Genoa - Inter	D		1		Juventus - Como	W		3		AC Milan - Torino	D		1
2	Inter - Lecce	W		4		Verona - Juventus	W		6		Parma - AC Milan	L		1
3	Inter - Atalanta	W		7		Juventus - AS Roma	D		7		SS Lazio - AC Milan	D		2
4	Monza - Inter	-				Empoli - Juventus	-				AC Milan - Venezia	-
5	Inter - AC Milan	-				Juventus - Napoli	-				Inter - AC Milan	-
6	Udinese - Inter	-				Genoa - Juventus	-				AC Milan - Lecce	-
7	Inter - Torino	-				Juventus - Cagliari	-				Fiorentina - AC Milan	-
8	AS Roma - Inter	-				Juventus - SS Lazio	-				AC Milan - Udinese	-
9	Inter - Juventus	-				Inter - Juventus	-				Bologna - AC Milan	-
10	Empoli - Inter	-				Juventus - Parma	-				AC Milan - Napoli	-
11	Inter - Venezia	-				Udinese - Juventus	-				Monza - AC Milan	-
12	Inter - Napoli	-				Juventus - Torino	-				Cagliari - AC Milan	-
13	Verona - Inter	-				AC Milan - Juventus	-				AC Milan - Juventus	-
14	Fiorentina - Inter	-				Lecce - Juventus	-				AC Milan - Empoli	-
15	Inter - Parma	-				Juventus - Bologna	-				Atalanta - AC Milan	-
16	SS Lazio - Inter	-				Juventus - Venezia	-				AC Milan - Genoa	-
17	Inter - Como	-				Monza - Juventus	-				Verona - AC Milan	-
18	Cagliari - Inter	-				Juventus - Fiorentina	-				AC Milan - AS Roma	-
19	Inter - Bologna	-				Atalanta - Juventus	-				Como - AC Milan	-
20	Venezia - Inter	-				Torino - Juventus	-				AC Milan - Cagliari	-
21	Inter - Empoli	-				Juventus - AC Milan	-				Juventus - AC Milan	-
22	Lecce - Inter	-				Napoli - Juventus	-				AC Milan - Parma	-
23	AC Milan - Inter	-				Juventus - Empoli	-				AC Milan - Inter	-
24	Inter - Fiorentina	-				Como - Juventus	-				Empoli - AC Milan	-
25	Juventus - Inter	-				Juventus - Inter	-				AC Milan - Verona	-
26	Inter - Genoa	-				Cagliari - Juventus	-				Torino - AC Milan	-
27	Napoli - Inter	-				Juventus - Verona	-				AC Milan - SS Lazio	-
28	Inter - Monza	-				Juventus - Atalanta	-				Lecce - AC Milan	-
29	Atalanta - Inter	-				Fiorentina - Juventus	-				AC Milan - Como	-
30	Inter - Udinese	-				Juventus - Genoa	-				Napoli - AC Milan	-
31	Parma - Inter	-				AS Roma - Juventus	-				AC Milan - Fiorentina	-
32	Inter - Cagliari	-				Juventus - Lecce	-				Udinese - AC Milan	-
33	Bologna - Inter	-				Parma - Juventus	-				AC Milan - Atalanta	-
34	Inter - AS Roma	-				Juventus - Monza	-				Venezia - AC Milan	-
35	Inter - Verona	-				Bologna - Juventus	-				Genoa - AC Milan	-
36	Torino - Inter	-				SS Lazio - Juventus	-				AC Milan - Bologna	-
37	Inter - SS Lazio	-				Juventus - Udinese	-				AS Roma - AC Milan	-
38	Como - Inter	-				Venezia - Juventus	-				AC Milan - Monza	-

Serie A Point Projection 2024/2025

docs.google.com

 

[brehme1989]

Where were you in the last two years?

 

[CafeCordoba]

@pier you want to create a new thread where you can update this kind of thing you have in your latest post?

We can close this thread, sticky that new thread and so on.

 

[CafeCordoba]

Okay so @pier has this thing rolling from now on, right here: https://forzainterforums.com/index.php?threads/projection-to-86-points-2024-2025.16307/

 

[pier]

I've done it! I'm sorry to have shamelessly hijacked the thread

 

[CafeCordoba]

Great work, it's less work for me so me gusta