Projection to 86 points with a fuckup budget 21/22

[DiegoMilito22]

I think this thread should be back on menu

 

[brehme1989]

Juventus has the easiest schedule. But it's good that they can only reach 80 points and there's pressure behind them as well as 3 teams to overcome.

Milan has the toughest schedule and ours is easy on paper but as usual all our games can be tricky because we make sure they are.

 

[wera]

It's time to activate Sanchez. If there is any player that can bring us goals now, it's him.

 

[magnesium]

As long Brozovic not injured , we get 80% chance to win Scudetto.

 

[FairyTailed]

Exciting times for Inter and for this thread

 

[brehme1989]

Given that the top 3 teams have now failed to win in 12 games with 6(+1 for Inter) games to go, it'll become very interesting.

Juventus has failed to win at 14 games, but I think they're done with it. They have an easy schedule and they have FIGC in their pocket as well.

They have Sassuolo away which shouldn't trouble them now that the shit may hit the fan, they have Lazio at home who tend to choke against them, Fiorentina away, where... well, see Lazio example. Especially closer to the end of the season it's unrealistic to expect them to lose vital points. The rest are Bologna, Genoa and Venezia.

Milan may very well enter the position we were in February/March. If we can also eliminate them from the Coppa final, even better. Apart from Genoa, they have Lazio away, Fiorentina at home, Verona away, Atalanta at home and Sassuolo away. There's no way Milan is in this race if they don't manage to win their first three games.


Provided we beat Spezia, Roma and Bologna by the end of the month, we're probably going to secure the Scudetto, but that's a big if even now. Two tough away games and a Roma that's dying to get points.


Can't see a top 3 team ending the season with all wins. We're actually the one with highest chances to pull it off. Problem may arise if we drop to 14 winless games which would put us at Juventus levels.

 

[bubba zanetti]

Everything is unfolding for worst case scenario.

 

[.h.]

its fucking typical that this is the first time we've ever started this thread, yet its one of the 20% of the seasons (ish?) that dont follow the rule.

 

[pier]

Made some projections for fun, feel free to try yours (Just change the W D L via dropdown, and the point will automatically updated)

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[pupivn]

View attachment 6772

Made some projections for fun, feel free to try yours (Just change the W D L via dropdown, and the point will automatically updated)

Google Sheets: Sign-in

Access Google Sheets with a personal Google account or Google Workspace account (for business use).

docs.google.com

It seems you have a lot of faith in Fio

I can see Milan dropping points against Genoa, Verona more than Lazio and Fio.

Key matches for us are Roma first and Udinese, the usual suspect.

I rate Napoli higher than Milan in term of challenging, they have relatively normal schedule as us.

 

[diamen]

tbh no team in this league is able to get 15 points from matches against Lazio, Fiorentina, Verona, Atalanta and Sassuolo. Milan's calendar is madness. We gathered 8 points in matches against these rivals.
Napoli's calendar is fine, similar to ours. The same goes for Juve, but their gap is to[ big to become champions, so it's up to us and Napoli imo.

 

[brehme1989]

Since we're playing around:


(I actually would have put Napoli to beat Roma but cannot discount Mourinho on two big games)



works for me

 

[Sawyer]

 

[bubba zanetti]

View attachment 6775

Must say I'm really suprised that you predicted that we'll win every game till end

 

[pupivn]

View attachment 6775

In Sawyer we trust

 

[brehme1989]

April needs to be perfect

 

[brehme1989]

But the 9 fixtures that could worry us are:
1. Lazio (H)
2. Atalanta (A) within a week from Lazio
3. Milan (H)
4. Napoli (A) within a week from the derby, three days before Liverpool (H), unclear if there's a Coppa game between Milan and Napoli fixture but quite possible
5. Sassuolo (H) right after the whole mess mentioned above and they're fucking unpredictable
6. Torino (A) tough ground, right after the Anfield game
7. Fiorentina (H) week after Torino, but possible we have the first Coppa semi final (Milan or Lazio most likely) right before
8. Juventus (A) international break after the game with Fiorentina, but if we manage to advance in the quarters of CL, this comes right before
9. Roma (H) last big game we have and they'll probably be chasing points to qualify for Europe. If we make CL semis, it's right before. No idea when 2nd leg of Coppa semi is played, so if we don't make CL semis, we may have the Coppa fixture there anyway.

Fucking hell, we only got 3/9 wins from this one. Post was in December.

13 points out of 27. Let's hope we beat Bologna and finish off all other games in May with some relative ease. It's in our hands. And that worries me

 

[pupivn]

Fucking hell, we only got 3/9 wins from this one. Post was in December.

13 points out of 27. Let's hope we beat Bologna and finish off all other games in May with some relative ease. It's in our hands. And that worries me

At least we are worried, we know.

 

[brehme1989]

meh, close the thread

 

[CafeCordoba]

Feels so bad man.