After 3rd round of games
Qualifiers are wide open but Brazil is in Qatar. All game benefited Colombia the most. With 4+ points and all direct competition doing very badly 2 or less points out of 6.
Bad results is keeping everyone alive on paper. Bottom 3 are dead. They don't have the roster and just too far to catch up. To me it will be the teams with the best rosters will make the cup. Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, Colombia and Chile. It really is head to head between Colombia, Chile, Uruguay, Paraguay and Ecuador.
Each team needs to beat Bolivia, Venezulea and Peru twice = 18 points. Then try to get 3-4 points in the head to head against each other to qualify. 3*3 = 9. That would give them 18+9 = 27 points. I think the normal # to qualify is 28. Hence why Brazil is in. They are 4 wins ahead of Uruguay/Colombia who are 4th &5th. No way 5th place can catch up to that with 12 games left.
1. Brazil -18 points (tho Fred should have gotten a red against Ecuador and in the 1st 3 minutes they should have conceded a PK vs Paraguay)..... but refs in SA love to turn a blind eye to that
2. Argentina - 12 points - awful 3rd round only 2 points. Should have lost to Chile but ref gave them a soft PK. Blew a 2-0 lead against Colombia.
3. Ecuador - 9 points (0 points this round !!, blew potentially their chance to leave the pack and be 1/2 way to qualification
4. Uruguay - 8 points ( 2 ties as well. above Colombia due to goal difference and 1v1
5. Colombia - 8 points (totally blew the Argentina game by benching Muriel for an extra MF. lucky as hell to get a tie at the last minute)
6. Paraguay - 7 ( 1 point and a tough lost to Brazil)
7. Chile - 6 Pts (this team goes Super Saiyan again Argentina... should have won that game... some how ties at home vs Bolivia... mind blown)
they don't really have any chance to qualify but are defiantly going to ruin some teams dreams.
8. Bolivia -5 points (need to win all their home games.... they have like maybe 1 remotely decent player)
9. Venezuela - 4 points ( big tie against Uruguay but not winning at home cost them their shot. They have a great youth team that think was in the top 3 of the U20 WC a few years back so they have potential just not in this cycle)
10. Peru - 4 points ( big Win vs Ecuador but just doesn't have the roster and their team is so old)