Generally, when these European upsets occur it is the result of one or a combination of factors including getting caught on the counter, a moment of individual brilliance from a skilled player, a defensively resolute team performance, or simply rising to the occasion.
From what I've seen, this team is utterly devoid of any of these things.
We have ZERO pace. If you timed every single player of ours in a 100m sprint, our squad would be in the lowest 1 percentile in Europe. Teams do not need to fear us hurting them on the counter because we are utterly incapable of doing so.
Likewise, we have such little flair in this squad that the chances of us creating something out of nothing is exceedingly slim. At any moment in the game, Salah can beat his man with drop of a shoulder and curl one into the far post. Who is even capable of that in this squad? Sanchez? Calhanoglu?... Lmaotaro?
The last two games against Milan and Napoli (even for moments against Roma) have also shown a worrying decline in our defence. Much of that is on De Vrij who looks fucking finished but Skriniar was putting on his own clown show at Naples too. Moreover, the trend is that under Inzaghi, this team can not simply close shop and defend a lead. The inability to counter attack certainly contributes to this. Regardless, every time this team has tried to defend a result, it has failed. The less said about Handanovic the better.
Finally, the mentality.. just lol. As I've pointed out ad nauseum, this team lost their mental edge when Conte left and the proof is in the pudding.
We've played 9 games across the league and CL against the big teams. 1 win, 5 draws, 3 losses. That is utterly pathetic and incompatible with a team aiming to be champions.
If you analyse closely, it gets even worse. In numerous games we dropped points from a winning position (Milan twice, juve, Atalanta). We also played our full-strength team against an injury ravaged Atalanta (yet failed to win or even score) and lost to a Milan B team missing both their first choice defenders, plus Ibrahimovic and Rebic.
That indicates to me that this team can not lift their game in the big occasions. Every time this abysmal big game record is brought up, someone argues that we dominated Milan or juve or Real Madrid for 45 or 60 minutes. Even when we do dominate for long periods of the game, what is the fucking point if you just shit your pants and can't hold your nerve until the end? That is the literal definition of being chokers.
I'll watch the game - as I have every game this season and as I did every game during our 9th place finish under Stramala - and I'll hope and support the team as usual, but the evidence is not in our favour. I see nothing wrong with acknowledging the evidence and basing my expectations upon it.