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10 years of FIF
And not to forget this stupid rule where the third place has still good chances to qualify... if italy don't passes the groups it would be really embarrassing.These tournaments are such a crapshoot though. So few games, and highly dependent on who's in form, injured, luck of the draw.
You never know who might got far.
But yeah as you said, there are a lot of things to consider. Remember how italy won the Euro or how france lost to swiss for example. Or before when Portugal won the competition even by passing only as third team in their groups with fucking IcelandEuro is not like World Cup. Maybe the interest of the teams are diffrent. Personally i was happy when Italy won it but it's nothing compared to winning a World Cup.
For me the only satisfying thing is that the tournament will be in Germany. I woud love a remake of 2006 (i live in germany and it was incredible how many italians were celebrating on the streets) but thats also the only reason. It's simliar to Europa League and Champions league, there is a big diffrence.