I don't know if I should be happy, or wonder what the fuck is wrong with my picks that none of them are flying with all these fucking indexes hitting all time highs.
Also, this 1 trillion fucking buildup of infra will make the telecoms over investments of 2000s like fucking childs play. Do people not realise what this added capacity means?
Like, how much electricity does a single image creation (let alone a movie) take up? How much gpu is necessary? Do people not realise that even at current levels, 1-2% of total world energy consumption goes to data centers?
A single server consumes 100 to 600 watts of power, a large data center has up to 80,000 servers, and energy consumption can go upwards of 100MW, that's the entire electricity generation capacity of DJIBOUTI, a country of 1.1 million people, or 30% of its consumption.
That was before the Nvidia AI chips lunacy. Nvidia h100:
"Each H100 GPU, running at 61% annual utilization, consumes roughly 3,740 kilowatt-hours (kWh) of electricity annually. This is equivalent to the average American household"
"Mark Zuckerberg said on Thursday that by the end of 2024, the company's computing infrastructure will include 350,000 H100 graphics cards"
"Assuming that Nvidia sells 1.5 million H100 GPUs in 2023 and two million H100 GPUs in 2024, there will be 3.5 million such processors deployed by late 2024"
So NVIDIA chips ALONE, will consume as much electricity as Lithuania.
So if Data Centre energy demand grows as % of total, by 3/4 times, it will grow to up to 10%. USA itself rn accounts for 16% of TOTAL WORLD energy consumption.
Also hyperscalers require 100% of energy to come from renewable, but that will just have a waterbed effect where it will push the price of electricity through other means higher as these guys will buy all of the renewable energy.
Pure lunacy.
Also for most part AI applications are just very very new and we do not really know what will take off, but this overcapacity will make it possible in 4-5 years time to get insane GPU for peanuts and could commercialise alot of use cases..
so 2 things,
either play the renewable energy trade, or software/applications with long term view. Stay away from infra.